Archive for the 'War Rumors' Category

Three Myths About Afghanistan

Oct 12 2009

“The fabric of our collective will has begun to fray, weakened all the more by a series of pernicious myths that thicken the fog of war.” – Colonel Joseph Collins, (USA-Ret)


MOAA Life Member and National War College Teacher Helps Clear Up The Air

Last Friday, I had the opportunity to attend a seminar for journalists regarding Afghanistan at the Medill School of Journalism put on by Military Reporters and Editors and the National Defense University. With the current dramatic events unfolding politically and militarily over the future course of the war, the timing was excellent. Also excellent was the presentation by Colonel Joseph Collins, (USA-Ret), who is a current teacher at the National War College and a former deputy assistant director of defense for stability operations.

In addition to these accomplishments, Colonel Collins is also a Life Member of MOAA and graciously gave us the go ahead to share what he felt are three pervasive myths regarding Afghanistan. We thank him for helping the home team. Below are exerts from each myth. To visit the full story at Armed Force Journal, click here.


Myth 1 – Afghanistan is not a vital interest to the United States, we should withdraw.

Colonel Collins explains why Afghanistan is a crucial theater in the war against violent extremist Islam:

…Our mission in Afghanistan remains what it was in the fall of 2001. We must prevent the re-establishment of a terrorist stronghold there and defeat al-Qaida and the Taliban, who, if anything, have moved closer together over the years. Our methods for achieving our objectives include counterterrorism, counterinsurgency and state-building. All are necessary. Those who think we can ignore Afghan needs while we use their country as a counterterrorism platform are naïve or shortsighted. Unless we create a decent, stable country in Afghanistan — not a Utopia — it may again be conquered by an al-Qaida ally, and the need for counterterrorist operations there will never disappear.

He continues to explain that Yemen and Somalia are unpredictable as bases for al-Qaida and that their best opportunity is to regain operational control of Taliban dominated Afghanistan and Pakistan.


Myth 2 – The Taliban are winning the war in Afghanistan. They can’t be stopped.

This type of reporting or propaganda encourages defeatism, according to Colonel Collins, and is not the reality of the situation.

The Taliban can be defeated and blocked by strategies that protect the population and build up the security capacity of the Afghan state, its provinces and its districts. Counter-sanctuary activities by Pakistani forces could easily disrupt their base areas and training grounds. Better coordination with Persian Gulf allies and stronger counternarcotics efforts could dry up their financial base. To win faster, we will have to fight harder and smarter, drastically increasing Afghanistan’s capacity to manage its own affairs. The truth is that Taliban forces have made great strides, but they can be stopped. The Taliban cannot win unless the West quits.

Defeating the Taliban strategy of outlasting the determination and will of the international forces is the best path to victory.


Myth 3 – Afghanistan has always been unstable and has never had an effective central government. Trying to build one is a waste of time and resources.

Prior to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, the nation was a much more secure place. It was even a tourist destination for a lot of hippies and members of the New Age movement.

From the early 1900s to the Soviet invasion in 1978, Afghanistan was a poor, but relatively stable, developing country. The government writ large — national, provincial, district and at local levels —was in control at home and generally at peace with its neighbors. In the postwar era, the country was courted by the U.S. and the Soviet Union, both of which during the Cold War provided significant foreign aid. It had a draft, a functioning Army and Air Force, as well as a significant Western presence. From the early 1960s onward, it had both a king and a functioning parliament.

Underneath the surface, however, the pressures for modernization and the pull of tradition and religion produced both leftist and religious extremists. In 1973, the king was deposed by his progressive cousin in a velvet coup. After a Soviet-backed, Marxist coup in 1978 — which the late anthropologist Louis Dupree characterized as “more Groucho than Karl” —the country spiraled rapidly downward. Even before the Soviet invasion in December 1979 to shore up its position on its southern border, the Afghan people were widely in revolt, energized by the need to deal with atheist invaders.

Since the Soviet pull out, the nation has experienced nothing but bloodshed, with a civil war leading to a Taliban government and the war with the United States.


Nation Building and Setbacks

While the bombings, raids and battles raging daily between the Taliban, al-Qaida linked forces and the international coalition grab all the press coverage, there has been a determined attempt to restore the nation of Afghanistan to its prior self-supportive days. But this effort is useless while Taliban and their cohorts are attacking bases, bombing embassies and threatening schools and government institutions that support the international coalition. As the White House, Congress and DoD discuss our next moves, these concepts should be clear.



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The Weekly Post – June 28, 2009

Jun 28 2009

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“Hope never abandons you; you abandon it”
– George Weinberg


Weekly Summary

A military issues only edition this time around, due to all the focus we’ve put on Iran and North Korea the past three weeks. There are some hopeful stories and some frightening ones this week, and the drone attacks in Afghanistan is one of the most concerning. With Pakistan (finally) sweeping through the tribal areas, too much pressure may backfire. Time will tell.

On to the news of the week (for main source of each article, click on the title)…
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Iran’s Salvation in the Works?

Jun 23 2009

First they laugh at you.
Then they ignore you.
Then they fight you.
Then you win.
Mahatma Gandhi

Note: While we are busy gathering notes for the next Bilge article (there’s a distinct lack of military related emails that we haven’t already covered out in cyberspace right now), we continue our coverage of the Iranian crisis. As with other editorials, the opinions of Battle of the Bilge may not represent the official position of MOAA. It appears now that after several days of police crackdowns on peaceful protesters, the real change is happening behind the scenes, and the days of Ayatollah Khamenei’s rule may be numbered.

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Iran’s Day of Destiny

Jun 20 2009

Published by under Editorial,War Rumors

A great revolution in just one single individual will help achieve a change in the destiny of a society and, further, will enable a change in the destiny of humankind.Daisaku Ikeda

Update on Iranian Situation

With the only official, verifiable reports coming out of Iran being from the government and major media outlets in a near complete blackout, it is hard to know for certain exactly what is happening on the ground. Social Media outlets such as Facebook and Twitter are the only real means of hearing from the side of the protesters. But here are the events that have been confirmed to have happened in Iran since Tuesday:
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Iran in Crisis

Jun 14 2009

Published by under Editorial,War Rumors


A military coup needs a sacrifice and courage that you can’t find in an army without morale.
– Jalal Talabani

Coup, Unrest after Iranian Election

Friday was supposed to be a day to celebrate in Iran. The Presidential race had been fought with vigorous debates, Western style campaigning and a record number of young citizens voting for the first time. The opposition was hopeful and energized, and by all accounts the beginning of the voting was pointing toward a serious challenge for incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Then chaos took over, and now we are witnessing in real time (although the supreme powers that be in Iran are doing their best to keep the world in the dark).

Here’s the time line of events that can be generally accepted as reality (defined here as multiple source confirmations sprinkled with some common sense):

  • The election had such a high turnout that it had to be extended for 6 hours
  • Projections had challenger Mir Hossein Mousavi winning decisively and Ahmadinejad finishing in last place
  • The Interior Ministry announces an ‘official’ victory for Ahmadinejad with 63% of the vote
  • An announcement from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, congratulated Ahmadinejad and told the nation to support his presidency and not fall prey to foreign propaganda
  • An election council created by representatives from all three major presidential candidates reject the ‘official’ results and call for a new election
  • Massive protests break out all across Iran, with Mousavi’s supporters dressed in Green
  • Protesters are suppressed with a heavy hand by Revolutionary Guard forces loyal to the Mullahs
  • A leaked report from the Iranian Interior Ministry gives Mousavi’s true vote count at just under 20 million, in comparison to Ahmadinejad’s 5.7 million
  • A rumor spread for all of Mousavi’s supporters to gather at his campaign HQ for a rally. Speculation was ripe that it was a trap.
  • It was. Hundreds of supporters are arrested, including the Ayatollah’s own daughter
  • Universities across Iran have been attacked by members of the Revolutionary Guard
  • Professors at Sharif University have resigned their posts in protest
  • Rumors abound that Mousavi, as well as outspoken critic of the Ayatollah and former Iranian President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who is also a member of the ruling clerical high council, have been placed under house arrest
  • UPDATE:  Grand Ayatollah Sanei in Iran has declared Ahmadinejad’s presidency illegitimate and cooperating with his government against Islam (as translated by a Farsi language reader of The Atlantic)

Let’s take a look at how the historic events have been reported around the world…

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